4% Excess Deaths Recorded in Scotland: Weekly Update

The weekly deaths published by The National Records of Scotland on 3rd of August 2023 are as follows:

  • The provisional total number of deaths registered in Scotland in week 30 of 2023 (24th of July to 30th July) was 1,102 (44 or 4% above the 5-year average).  
  • As of 30th of July 2023, there have been a total of 17,738 deaths registered in Scotland where the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) was mentioned on the death certificate.
  • In week 28 there were 5 deaths involving COVID-19 (5 fewer than the previous week).

Those figures in more details.

The were 5 deaths involving Covid, Covid was the underlying cause in 4 of them. One deaths took place in a Care Home and 4 in Hospital.

Age 65 – 74: 1 death, male

Age 75 – 84: 2 deaths, 1 male, 1 female

Age 85+: 2 deaths, male

Deaths for the week ending 24th July (week 30) from 2020 – 2023

YearDeaths involving CovidDeaths Covid the Underlying CauseExcess Deaths All Causes
202084-15
20214636+178
20229552+166
202354+44

There were 1,102 deaths due to all causes, an excess of 44 taken over a 5 year average.

Excess deaths occurred in Circulatory +20, Respiratory +10 and Other +36

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  1. ‘… reported deaths due to COVID-19 generally underestimate the true toll of the impact of COVID-19 on human mortality’

    ‘However, shares of the globally reported COVID-19 deaths varied by region over the course of the pandemic, reflecting the spread of the disease, the various approaches the regions and the countries took to curb the pandemic, the availability of vaccines and disparities between countries, differences and changes in testing regimes and policies, the evolving practices in assignment of underlying causes of deaths, and the changing nature of the COVID-19 virus.’

    Above statements are from: World health statistics 2023: monitoring health for the SDGs, Sustainable Development Goals. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2023 [download available at: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240074323%5D

    Basically, this means that what information we can currently gather, may just be the tip of the iceberg and particularly the way underlying causes of deaths are determined could – in the absence of testing – be considered flying blind.
    Circulatory deaths come to mind, given that Covid infections can affect the cardiovascular system… but nobody can tell whether any of those are (possibly late) consequences of an infection.

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